JUSTHODL.AI

CRISIS & PLUMBING

Official Fed crisis indices · money market flows · cross-currency basis · yield curve stress

📊 — indices 🔄 — 📡 source: FRED + Federal Reserve Banks 🕒 refresh: every 6h
⚠️ Failed to load data — please retry shortly
—
STRESS

COMPOSITE STRESS SIGNAL

LOADING…
Aggregating St. Louis Fed, Chicago Fed (NFCI / ANFCI), Kansas City Fed, and OFR financial stress indices into a percentile-ranked composite. The agreement of multiple official indices is a non-curve-fitted prior on systemic stress.
—
OF — INDICES
FLAGGED >75TH PCT

OFFICIAL CRISIS INDICES

10Y percentile rank — higher = more stress

WHAT THIS MEANS — STRESS REGIME & ASSET PLAYBOOK

how composite stress + signal mix maps to asset performance

FUNDING & CREDIT SIGNALS

SOFR–IORB · HY/IG OAS · TIPS breakeven · real rates · SLOOS bank lending

PLUMBING TIER 2

money market funds · bank deposits · funding facilities

MONEY MARKET FUND COMPOSITION

prime → government rotation = leading dollar-funding stress signal

YIELD CURVE STRESS

10Y-2Y & 10Y-3M spreads · negative = inverted = recession indicator

OFFSHORE DOLLAR FUNDING

USD–foreign rate differentials · broad dollar index · OBFR–IORB unsecured spread