OPEX CALENDAR

Edge #8 of 10 — monthly options-expiration anomaly. Real Polygon max-pain + 5y SPY backtest. State-aware iron condors and post-OPEX longs.

CURRENT READINGS

Days to OPEX (trading)--
Days since prior OPEX--
Next OPEX is quad-witch--
SPY current--
Max pain--
Pin distance--
Contracts analyzed--
Previous regime--

FORWARD EXPECTATIONS (SPY)

HorizonReturnWin Rate
Basis (current regime):

TRIGGER CONDITIONS

RECOMMENDED TRADE

TOP STRIKES BY OPEN INTEREST

StrikeOpen Interest

5Y BACKTEST: PRE-OPEX 5D

5Y BACKTEST: POST-OPEX 5D

5Y BACKTEST: POST QUAD-WITCH 5D

RECENT POST-OPEX EPISODES

3rd FridayTypePost-OPEX 5d %

WHY NOW (RETAIL EXPLAINER)

METHODOLOGY & SOURCES